Intelligence agencies don’t doubt that Iran wants to develop a nuclear bomb. Under ideal conditions, Teheran until it could accomplish the first test of a bomb in 2010. However, Iran still lacks know-how and the necessary resources to build an effective weapon.

The agencies are unanimous in one thing: the capacity to accomplish an atomic explosion is not the same thing that the capacity to mobilize a nuclear weapon.

Hence, Iran is more close to getting to accomplish a nuclear explosion than if they thought previously. That is the opinion of the organ of foreign intelligence of Germany, BND. It is a vision shared by the relevant Israeli intelligence agencies – Mossad and the agency of military intelligence of Israel.

As their estimates, Iran could have conditions of accomplishing a test of nuclear bomb – similar to that North Korea North accomplished recently – inside of approximately one year.

However, so that Iran can become a “real” threat, it will be necessary some time so that the Iranian scientists can adapt their bombs to the Shahab rockets. Only then a nuclear bomb if it would turn a strategic weapon for them, equally capable to intimidate and to discourage its enemies.

But at least in the current conditions, the possible test devices would be of the size of containers, therefore too big to be used as weapon.

Via: Der Spiegel.